Scoop: House Democrats grow their GOP target list for 2024

April 1, 2024

DCCC Red to Blue list

As of March 27, 2024; Highlighted rows indicate new additions since Jan. 29.A table showing the DCCC Red to Blue list for 2024. New Sponsored Democrats include: Derek Tran (CA-45), Dave Min (CA-47), Sue Altman (NJ-07), and Laura Gillen (NY-04).

DistrictDemocratRepublican2022 House margin2020 presidential margin
AZ-06Kirsten EngelJuan CiscomaniR+1.4Biden+0.1
CA-13Adam GrayJohn DuarteR+0.4Biden+11.1
CA-22Rudy SalasDavid ValadaoR+3.0Biden+12.8
CA-27George WhitesidesMike GarciaR+6.4Biden+12.4
CA-41Will RollinsKen CalvertR+4.6Trump+1.1
CA-45Derek TranMichelle SteelR+4.8Biden+6.1
CA-47Dave MinOpenD+3.4Biden+11.1
CO-03Adam FrischOpenR+0.2Trump+8.2
IA-01Christina BohannanMariannette Miller-MeeksR+6.8Trump+2.9
IA-03Lanon BaccamZach NunnR+0.7Trump+0.4
MI-07Curti HertelOpenD+5.4Biden+0.9
MT-01Monica TranelRyan ZinkeR+3.1Trump+6.9
NE-02Tony VargasDon BaconR+2.6Biden+6.3
NJ-07Sue AltmanTom Kean Jr.R+2.8Biden+3.6
NY-03Tom SuozziMazi Melesa PilipR+7.6Biden+8.2
NY-04Laura GillenAnthony D’EspositoR+3.6Biden+14.5
NY-17Mondaire JonesMike LawlerR+0.6Biden+10.1
NY-19Josh RileyMarc MolinaroR+1.6Biden+4.6
OR-05Janelle BynumLori Chavez-DeRemerR+2.0Biden+8.9
TX-15Michelle VallejoMonica De La CruzR+8.5Trump+2.8
VA-02Missy Cotter SmasalJen KiggansR+3.4Biden+1.9
House Democrats are adding four more candidates to their “Red to Blue” program as they attempt to flip enough Republican-held seats to take the House majority, Axios has learned.
Why it matters: All four candidates are in districts President Biden won in 2020 — a sign that Democrats are doubling down on a strategy of trying to ride Biden’s coattails in November.Driving the news: The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee’s list includes three candidates challenging Republican incumbents and one running for an open seat vacated by Rep. Katie Porter (D-Calif.).
Derek Tran: A veteran and attorney challenging Rep. Michelle Steel (R-Calif.) in the Orange County-based 45th District.
Dave Min: A state senator running in Porter’s Orange County-based 47th District. He is likely to face Republican Scott Baugh, a former state representative who challenged Porter in 2022.
Sue Altman: A progressive organizer and former teacher challenging Rep. Tom Kean Jr. (R-N.J.) in New Jersey’s affluent northern suburbs.
Laura Gillen: A former town supervisor who is running to challenge Rep. Anthony D’Esposito (R-N.Y.) in the Long Island-based 4th District after losing to him in 2022.
Between the lines: The new endorsements are in races where primaries have now happened — in the cases of Tran and Min — or where all or most serious opponents have dropped out — in the cases of Altman and Gillen.
One notable omission is Joe Kerr, the Democratic challenger to Rep. Young Kim (R-Calif.) in a district Biden won narrowly in 2020.
What they’re saying: “I am excited to work with this diverse group of public servants, veterans, and leaders to take the House back in November,” DCCC Chair Suzan DelBene said in a statement. 
“Their records of service stand in stark contrast to their extreme and dangerous far-right opponents. Their victories will help ensure Democrats retake the majority so Congress can get back to work to lower costs, grow the middle class, and defend our reproductive rights.”